Cone of uncertainty

1 episode about this topic

TIP773: How Systems and Simple Math Shape Better Investing w/ Kyle Grieve

Host Kyle shares mental models from systems thinking and mathematics that shape his personal investing approach. He explains concepts like feedback loops, kill criteria, cone of uncertainty, scale, algorithms, critical mass, compounding, power laws, randomness, and regression to the mean, grounding each in concrete investing examples. Throughout, he emphasizes structuring decisions to favor long-term cash flow compounding while surviving volatility and avoiding portfolio blowups.

Nov 30, 2025 Business